Gordon Becomes First US Landfalling Tropical System of 2018 Season

EDIT: Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall just before 11pm September 4th 2018 on the Mississippi/Alabama border.

Tropical Storm Gordon has developed just off the Gulf Coast of the US and will move onshore later this evening and into tomorrow.  Some models suggest that winds could be in excess of 74 mph. 

Radar Image at 4:05pm Sept 4, 2018

Radar Image at 4:05pm Sept 4, 2018

As you can see on the most recent models below, there is variability.. but hurricane strength certainly looks attainable.  With water temperatures above 90 degrees, there is "fuel" for the storm just offshore, and we should see this strengthen all the way up until it makes landfall.  Gordon will also be making landfall during the diurnal maximum, which is usual the part of the day when Hurricanes are the strongest.  Storm surge, heavy rain, and winds in excess of 70mph are all possible for places like Mobile, AL & Gulfport, MS tonight and into tomorrow morning.  If you have family in that area, please make sure that they are aware of the unfolding situation!

18z NAM 3km run on Sept 4th showing the chance for winds up to 80mph at landfall

18z NAM 3km run on Sept 4th showing the chance for winds up to 80mph at landfall

Satellite Image from Goes-16 of Tropical Storm Gordon

Satellite Image from Goes-16 of Tropical Storm Gordon

Goes-16 Color Image of Tropical Storm Gordon

Goes-16 Color Image of Tropical Storm Gordon

Gordon does not look to affect WNC in the near future because it stalls over the Missouri Valley.  Moisture will eventually move in from Gordon, but that will not occur for another 5 days, and the air will be modified a great deal.  Gordon could to make landfall as a low end Category 1 storm somewhere between Pensacola, FL and Gulfport, MS this evening or a high end tropical storm.  Please stay safe if you are in the path o f this storm! 

Radar at 8:43pm September 4th

Radar at 8:43pm September 4th

Inner eye wall is developing as of 8:43pm and the storm is approaching Dauphin Island, AL.  Winds could exceed 70mph at landfall.