Tropical Storm Nestor To Bring Over An Inch Of Rainfall To WNC Today

Tropical Storm Nestor has moved onshore this morning, and will continue to push towards WNC as the day progresses. Initially I believe only scattered showers will be likely, but as the afternoon progresses, those showers will turn to a more persistent heavy rain for many. In fact, most models show a widespread 1”+ of rainfall, and that is much needed! Below you can see the most recent NAM 3km radar depiction, and that gives you an idea of when rain will move through. I believe that rainfall will increase around WNC after 3pm as the main portion of the storm pushes through.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Drought Busting Rain?

You could call it that, though it will not completely bust the drought that has built over the past two months here in WNC. Below you can see the current drought monitor produced by the USDA every week. There are slight improvements compared to last week, but some moderate and severe drought still remain, so a widespread rainfall event is welcomed!

ModerateDroughtOct17th.jpg

How Much Rain Will Fall Today?

Below I have attached two short range model outcomes for total precipitation through this evening. The HRRR model only runs out for the next 18 hours, so more precipitation could be still be piling up on that model. All and all, a solid .75”-2” of rainfall looks to be possible for many!

HRRR provided by Weathermodels.com

NAM 3km Provided by Weathermodels.com

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Isolated Flash Flooding Cannot Be Rule Out

Some models indicated that a Southwest enhancement will occur as this system approaches the mountains. That would wring out excessive moisture, and favored locations along the Blue Ridge Escarpment could experience flooding. It really all depends on where the main banding sets up as the storms transfers to the Atlantic Coast. Usually that main slug of moisture will miss WNC, but several models indicated last night and this morning that the heavy precipitation could move right over WNC. That will be the determining factor between us seeing .5” and 1.5”.

Another Frost Possible Thursday Morning

Looking ahead to the rest of next week, and it appears that another front will move through on Wednesday, bringing with it the chance for another Inch of rainfall, and then frost behind it. Below you can see the most recent European model depiction of temperatures on Thursday morning. As you can see, most of the area drops into the mid 30’s. This would bring the chance for another frost to portions of WNC, so please keep that in mind. I will keep my eye on this front, and update you when more information becomes available!

Courtesy of  Weathermodels.com

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Watch The Fall Color In WNC Change Live

2019 AshevilleWX Fall Color Forecast, Vibrant Colors Projected For WNC

Update: Fall color will begin to accelerate as temperatures plummet over the next couple of nights. This will really enhance fall color. Rainfall that will move in over the next several days will also prolong leaf life, so I have adjusted my map below accordingly. I hope you find it useful!

Vibrant Fall Color Expected This Year For WNC

Signs are currently pointing to beautiful and vibrant color this fall for all of WNC. With limited rainfall across the area for the past month, I believe that we are set for a special fall. Below you can see my projection map for when locations around WNC will see peak color. I expect color to peak around Asheville on the week of October 28th-November 3rd, and I am forecasting a 6.5/10 on the AshevilleWX Vibrancy Scale.

For higher elevations, leaves will change before valley locations.. and many locations above 5500’ will begin to see peak color around October 7th. This would include locations like Mount Mitchell, and Roan Mountain, just to name a few. Clingman’s Dome, and even Grandfather Mountain will begin to peak on the week of October 7th-October 13th.

During the peak week of October 14th-October 20th, locations like Graveyard Fields, and Linn Cove Viaduct will begin to peak, as well as many of the leaves around Boone, NC. In SW WNC Wayah Bald will begin to peak in this time frame, along with the Cherohala Skyway.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

From October 21st-October 27th many of the mountains around the immediate Asheville area will begin to peak. That includes Mt. Pisgah, and surrounding peaks. Locations like Looking Glass Rock which can be seen from the Blue Ridge Parkway will be embroidered in fall attire during this week, and I expect this to be one of the busiest if not the busiest week of the year on the Parkway Also, some locations like Maggie Valley, and Mars Hill will begin to see colors peaking late this week.

Asheville and surrounding valleys located at 2000’ will begin to see peak fall color from October 28th-November 3rd. This week is when the majority of the population in WNC will see trees peaking in their backyards. Locations like Franklin, Waynesville, & even portions of Hendersonville will see peak color during this week. If you are planning a trip to Asheville, this is the week to book.

Locations like Brevard & Lenoir tend to peak a few days after Asheville, and therefore I am expecting their peak to be in the coming days after November 3rd. As you progress towards Charlotte, and elevation decreases, the peak day will progressively get later. This map is to help you plan your trip to the mountains of WNC, and decide where you should travel on your stay to see vibrant leaf color!

Science Behind Why Leaves Change Color

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Why Will Colors Be Vibrant This Year?

There are several factors in which a meteorologist has to consider when putting together a fall foliage outlook. One main thing to take into consideration it the amount of rainfall that the area has received leading up to Autumn. During the beginning of the year, we were on pace with our record year last year, but we have since fallen off that pace. This early rainfall allowed tree canopies to flourish, and there is a healthy crop of leaves on trees around WNC currently. With limited rainfall over the past two month, this has set the leaf crop up to die at typical dates. I do not expect an early or a late change, but I do expect a vibrant one with lots of florescent colors.

Forecast Caveats

Tropical moisture can throw off a leaf forecast, and that cannot be rule out over the next 21 days. These storms effectively blow leaves off of trees, and the excessive moisture they bring can dampen colors somewhat. This is an unknown moving into mid October, and is the reasoning behind my rating of 6.5 for this year on the Vibrancy Scale, compared to a 7 or 8.

Another caveat is cooler temperatures during the evenings and nights. Temperatures need to dip into the 50’s on a regular basis for trees to begin to close off leaves access. Below you can see the most recent 15 day forecast for temperatures around WNC. A pattern change is coming, and cooler temperatures are on the way! Several models indicate that highs next week will only be in the 70’s around Asheville and then we will dip into the low to mid 50’s each evening. This would be perfect weather in my opinion for leaves to begin the process of change.

Conclusion

I am projecting fall color to be right on time this year compared to average, and I am expecting fall color to be a 6.5/10 on the Vibrancy Scale. There are a few things that could spoil this forecast, such as an impactful tropical system that moves through WNC, between now and the peak date for your location. I will keep you updated on the progression, and make changes to this forecast if necessary!

Plan Your Excursion

Looking to plan your trip through the mountains of WNC? Visit RomanticAsheville.com for an in depth travel guide to Asheville & the surrounding area!

Where To Watch Fall Color Change In WNC?

AshevilleWX Live HD Webcams

Tropical Moisture Looks To Provide Drought Relief For Many Through Weekend Around WNC

A disturbance in the Pacific Ocean currently appears to develop further and eject north into the Gulf of Mexico. As this system moves towards the Gulf States, it could pick up some steam and pressure could drop. So what does this mean for WNC? Well some of our best rain makers come from the Gulf of Mexico, and right now we could really use one! The European model (shown below) shows this system making landfall as a weak Tropical Disturbance sometime late Saturday/early Sunday AM.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

How Much Rain For WNC?

Through Monday the European model only shows .5” or so, but I believe those totals could change once models get a better hold of how exactly the system will unfold. Typically when tropical moisture moves in from the Gulf, Southwest flow enhances it as it reaches the base of the Appalachian Mountains. This in turn wrings out the moisture from a given system. Below you can see the most recent European model precipitation projection through Monday morning.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

The GFS is also showing this chance for rainfall, but brings the rainfall in earlier on Saturday compared to what the European model shows. Below you can see that depiction.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

So we are still kind of in a wait and see pattern for exactly how much rain will fall, but it appears likely that the system in the Pacific that currently has 50% chance for development will indeed affect WNC. This rainfall is much needed because of the current drought situation around WNC. Many locations are in moderate or even severe drought, and it will take several inches of rainfall to push them out of drought conditions… so hopefully this will come to fruition.

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Frost Likely Tomorrow & Friday AM

Frost is likely tomorrow and Friday morning as brisk fall air moves into the area following the frontal passage that occurred today. Winds have picked up, and could gust over 40mph in some locations around WNC. Temperatures around WNC will drop into the 30’s and it will feel like winter tomorrow am! Below you can see the most recent NAM 3km temperature depiction for tomorrow morning and it shows a low of 38 degrees at the AVL airport.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Fall Will Be In Full Swing Following Cold Front

The fall color around WNC should reach a vibrant peak in the next 2-3 weeks, depending on your location. Areas above 4500’ will be peaking this weekend, and then I expect to see that color trickle down into the valleys below over the following two weekends. I will update my fall peak forecast map shortly. In the meantime, you can watch the fall color change on the AshevilleWX Live Webcams linked below!

Frost Possible Late This Week For WNC

After a frontal passage on Wednesday, temperatures will drop into the the mid to upper 30’s around WNC, and that will bring the first frost to many around the area. below you can see the most recent NAM model run and its projected temperatures for Thursday morning. As you can see, most locations will dip into the 30’s for the first time since May!

Cover Sensitive Vegetation

This will be a situation where you will need to cover sensitive vegetation around WNC. These temperatures will effectively end your tomatoes plants, and only hearty veggies like onions and broccoli will live through this potential first frost. We will again see temperatures dip into the 30’s Friday morning as well, so keep in mind that you will need to start covering or bringing in sensitive vegetation on a regular basis.

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Limited Rainfall Expected Through Weekend

As the front moves through late Tuesday and into Wednesday, some rainfall is possible.. but nothing significant. In fact most models indicate that less than a quarter inch is expected for most through the weekend. Below you can see the European model precipitation projection through the weekend, and the chance for significant rainfall looks to be disappearing. Unfortunately, this will not help with drought conditions that continue to worsen around WNC. Some locations saw a bit of relief through the weekend, but not enough rain to pull any locations out of their current drought situation. Any significant relief appears to be at least 7 days away, with no big rain makers set to move through.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Cool Temps Will Kickstart Fall Color

Beginning this morning we will see a kickstart to the fall color! These temperatures in the 40’s will allow the process to progress, and the color change should be officially on for most trees in the area. Elevations above 4500’ should begin to peak this week, and then in the next 2-2.5 weeks we will see peak down here in the valleys around Asheville!

Watch Fall Color Change Around WNC!

Isolated Showers Likely Through Tuesday, Some Could Be Heavy

As a front pushes it way though Western North Carolina, isolated showers will be possible throughout the day on Tuesday. This will bring some much needed rainfall to some locations around the area. Below is the most recent run of the NAM 3km, and as you can see the totals vary greatly from valley to valley. Therefore, some locations could see over 1” of rainfall (especially as you get closer to the NC/TN border), while other locations barely manage a tenth of an inch. This is because this system will be moving in from E TN, and downsloping will dry out the system as it progresses East.

NAM 3km Precipitation Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Will This Break The Drought?

For some locations along the NC/TN border this could certainly break the drought. Higher locations could see as much as 3” of rainfall from this system as the moisture is strained out along the spine of the Appalachians. But for others down in certain valleys away from the NC/TN border, only minimal precipitation will fall. On the map above you can see that it only shows around .2” of rainfall for the Asheville Airport, but has precipitation maximums of 4”+ along the NC/TN border. On this model run the Franklin station is projected to pick up over an inch of rainfall. Does that come to fruition? I am not sure. These type events will hammer some valley locations, but leave others dry.. so a general rule of thumb is that if you are within 20 miles of the NC/TN border, you can expect twice the rainfall compared to locations 30-40 miles away.

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Cooler Air Is Coming

The European model continues to show Fall temperatures throughout the next 10 days, so it should be very nice around WNC! The mornings will eventually begin to cool off after this first front passes, and next weekend we could even see temperatures in the low to mid 40’s. This will continue to aid leaf change progression around WNC, and I am still expecting a somewhat spectacular fall color showing this year, even though the leaves are a couple of days late! Click Here to view my 2019 Fall Foliage Forecast!

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com


Watch The Season Change Live In WNC On The HD Live Cameras


Record High Temps Likely Today And Tomorrow, Then Two Cold Front Moves In

The record for high temperature on this date in Asheville (October 2nd) is 87 degrees set back 120 years ago in 1897. Today, just like yesterday, that record could fall. Tomorrow the record high temperature is 88 degrees set back in 1954, and that record could likely fall as well with many models indicating that 90 degrees could be possible. Below you can see the most recent European model run and it shows the next several days of temperatures. After we get through the next two days, it appears that Fall will finally arrive!

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Not One But Two Cold Fronts Are On The Way

These nasty upper 80’s and 90’s are on their way out for WNC, and two cold fronts will push through the area with the second bringing another chance for rainfall. The first frontal passage will occur Friday afternoon, and a few pop-up showers could occur, but I am not expecting anything significant. The second front though that will move though Tuesday at some point in time does have rain making potential. The European model only shows around .3” of rainfall being possible, while the GFS indicates a more potent rainmaker, and shows well over .5” of precipitation possible. This does appear to be an upper level low, and that strong energy will make this storm somewhat difficult to predict, so expect this forecast to change some. We could be talking about severe storms with this frontal passage on Tuesday as well, so stay tuned for more information regarding that.

Courtesy of  Weathermodels.com

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Fall Color Update

Some of the highest elevations are beginning to reach peak, and they are a couple of days behind. I expect that trend to somewhat continue as the color traverses down in elevation, but if this cold pans out that will accelerate the process. The rainfall that most received over the past few days will be very beneficial to lower elevation leaf retention, and leaves should hold on to the trees a bit longer, allowing color to become somewhat vibrant. Be sure to share your pictures with AshevilleWX and also share them with RomanticAsheville.com on Instagram using the hashtag #RAlivefallcolor.

Extended Cool Down On Tap For WNC Next Weekend

It has been hot around WNC! Currently September of 2019 ranks 3rd for the hottest September ever recorded in WNC! With the average temperature currently for the whole month at 73.3 degrees, it ranks just behind 1925 (73.6 degrees), and 2018 at (74.1 degrees). With temperatures expected to reach close to 85 again today and tomorrow, we could easily see 2019 move into second place behind 2018.

A Cool Down Is Coming!

Finally the long range models are beginning to lock onto an extended period of average to below average temperatures. We should at least experience 3-4 days of 70 degree highs, and lows in the mid to upper 40’s next weekend. Below you can see the most recent GFS model run, and it indicates that mid 40’s will be possible early next Saturday morning. This will finally feel like fall, and it will be fitting since fall is already here lol.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

How Much Rainfall Will WNC Receive This Week?

This is a great question, and will vary from valley to valley around WNC. Yesterday I saw reports of some locations seeing over 2” of rainfall from the strong storm that developed in South Asheville. At my location in Alexander, NC I received .05” of rainfall. So, some locations got hammered with rain, while others barely receive any precipitation. Looking ahead, that theme appears to continue. Storms will be possible Sunday, Monday, & Tuesday around WNC, and then we will see another front late next week. Below you can see the most recent NAM 3km model run.

courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Wetter Pattern In Store

Most long range models now show a somewhat wet pattern beginning late next week around WNC, and that is great news. Currently all locations around WNC are in a drought, and there are several burn bans in place including one for Buncombe County. Below you can see the most recent European Model run and it suggests that a good slug of moisture will likely move in late next weekend or early next week. We haven’t seen precipitation like this showing up on long range models for some time, so in my opinion this is a very good sign regarding breaking out of the drought.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Drought Monitor

Below is the Southeast Drought Monitor produced every Thursday by the USDA. This week, many locations in WNC were added to this map. The progressing pattern though appears to bring in more moisture compared to what we have seen over the past month, so there is a decent chance that we could break out of this drought in the next two weeks. Stick with me here at AshevilleWX and I will keep you updated!

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Watch The AshevilleWX Live HD Camera To See The Leaves Change!

Drought Builds In WNC, Scattered Storms Expected This Weekend

The most recent drought monitor was released yesterday by the USDA, and all of WNC is now considered to be in a drought. The severity of drought varies greatly from valley to valley, but the overall sentiment is that the ground is extremely dry, and several inches of rain will be needed to break that. Below you can see the most recent drought monitor produced by the USDA.

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Locations to the Northeast of Asheville have been significantly drier compared to locations in the French Broad River Valley, and that is hard to believe considering how dry it has been around Asheville. That also holds true when you travel to the Southwest of Asheville. Severe drought has even been designated in parts of Macon County. A pattern change is needed in the worst way, and some long range models indicate that being possible.. but its at least a week away.

Slight Relief On The Way This Weekend For WNC

Short range models indicate that scattered thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon over the weekend for select locations. There’s no guarantee that your house will see rainfall, but the chances will certainly increase as we push through the weekend and into early next week. Below you can see the most recent NAM 3km and what it shows for this weekend.

courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

Leaf Stress

Some leaves around the area appear to be experiencing some stress, and in turn they are beginning to yellow earlier. Check out this tweet from a local weather expert Evan Fisher:


Many area trees are ahead of schedule as far as yellowing, and that appears to be due to the drought that has built over the past 2 months. The chlorophyll is already dying out in some leaves, and that accelerates their changing process. I am not exactly sure how this will affect the overall vibrancy of leaves this year in WNC, but one would imagine that it would have a negative influence. Ideally all leaves will die at the same time so that the tree will all turn its designated color at once. If leaves begin to die before others, then the color will be spotty in nature. Pictures are beginning to come in though of higher elevation leaf change, so time will tell regarding vibrancy.


Watch Leaves Change In WNC On The Live HD Webcams



Cold Front, Fall Like Temperatures Headed To WNC By Mid Week

A refreshing cold front is finally on the way for Western North Carolina, and temperatures Thursday and Friday morning will dip into the low 50’s and even upper 40’s in some locations! This will be such a relief for most as we have seen 6 days where we reached 90 degrees in September at the Asheville Airport.. Needless to say, it has been hot! Below you can see the most recent GFS model, and it shows temperatures in the 70’s for the high on Wednesday!

Wednesday Afternoon Temperatures Per GFS Provided By Weathermodels.com

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Some Locations Could See 40’s Friday AM

Some models are suggesting that upper 40’s will even be possible for a few locations on Friday morning. Below you can see the most recent GFS model, and as you can see on Friday AM many locations bottom out in the mid to upper 40’s. Boone could even get into the Mid 40’s with the GFS showing that 45 degrees will be possible!

Friday Am Temps Per 6z GFS Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.

How Will This Cold Front Impact Fall Color?

It should kick off the color change season across the High Country Of WNC. These low temperatures are what are needed to begin the process (which has already began in some locations), and it appears we will have 2-3 mornings of below average temperatures. So if you read my 2019 Fall Color Outlook For WNC you know that we were expecting this cold front, but how long it lasts is still up in the air. I expect to begin to see more of these cold fronts move through as we progress towards October, and as each one moves through, the fall color will enhance! Check below to see the fall color change on the AshevilleWX Live Webcams!

Watch The Fall Color Change Live On The AshevilleWX Live HD Webcams

WNC HD Webcams

Dorian Poses No Threat To Mountains Of WNC

With a landfall possible along the NC Coast, many have been asking me about the affects here in Western North Carolina. Models do not indicate that any rainfall will make it this far north and west for Dorian. Some gusty winds could be possible, as the storm exist off the coast, but these will not be strong than 25 mph. In fact, I am not really even expecting any rainfall over the next 5 days. Some pop-up afternoon storms will be possible, but these will be scattered, and will not be associated with Hurricane Dorian. Below is the most recent European model projected precipitation for the next 5 days.

Courtesy of  Weathermodels.com

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today.  https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Call the team that keeps my truck clean at A&R Specialist! David, Matt & Harley run A&R Specialist at 621 Brevard Rd. and they are the guys to trust with your vehicle cleaning & detailing. Whether you need a deep wax every once in a while or a quality clean and detail, you can feel safe putting your car in the hands of A&R Specialist! Call (828) 708-3718 to set up your appointment today. https://www.facebook.com/ARpressurewashing4/

Heat, Very Little Rain Expected Over Next 7 Days

Through next Tuesday, most models show very little rainfall for the area. In-fact, the Euro shows only .1” of rain likely for most through next Tuesday. It will be good hay cutting weather, but your garden and flowers may need some love! This bodes well for Fall foliage, if you remember last year we were extremely wet during this period and that played a huge part in the slow leaf change. Look for my fall color outlook in the next 2 weeks!

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit  nc-roofers.com  to set up your free roof inspection.

Contact my local trusted roofing source Matt at RedWolf Contracting Services to take care of all of your roof replacements. From shingles, to metal roofing, and even commercial rubber membrane, Matt has the resources and solutions to take care of your job in a professional and cost effective manner. Call (828) 772-9778 or visit nc-roofers.com to set up your free roof inspection.