Warmer & Drier Conditions Expected In WNC During Last Week Of Summer

That’s right, Fall officially begins on September 22.. but this week won’t feel much like a prequel.  Warm conditions are expected for all of WNC this week, with highs in the mid 80’s.  A few pop-up showers could be possible, but models appear less than optimistic that these will be widespread on any afternoon this week.  That is a great thing because our stream and rivers need to drain!  Some locations in the area especially around Pensacola, NC & Fairview, NC saw flooding from Florence, and more rainfall would just complicate those cleanups.


Are The Tropics Still Active? 

We are seeing a relaxation of activity in the tropics currently, so for the next 7-10 days.. there appears to be no immediate threat to the US.  That doesn’t mean that we are out of the woods this tropical season, it just means the atmosphere is less likely to produce tropical development over the next couple of weeks.  We can still get Hurricanes into November, so this season is far from over. 


More Rain Likely Next Week

Long range models indicate a strong front pushing across the US early next week.  This could bring the threat of severe storms along with it for our area.  It’s still a bit far out to forecast for this time frame, but know that I have my eye on it.  Muggy conditions will likely be the story though ahead of the front. 

Check back for another article soon detailing your weekend forecast!


Wednesday Weather Forecast & A Look Ahead To This Weekend

Wednesday Weather Forecast & A Look Ahead To This Weekend

Pop-Up Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon for many locations around WNC as daytime heating ignites a few updrafts.  Some of these cells could go severe, with gusty winds, and isolated hail.  Below is a radar simulation from the most recent (11z) HRRR run.  You can see that will ample humidity at the surface, various storms develop and move to the Northwest.  These cells do not appear to be long lived, but some locations could see rainfall rates of over 1" per hour.