The chance for thunderstorms will increase over the next few days around WNC as a cold pool aloft allows storm initialization to occur. Some locations around WNC may see very minimal t-storm activity, whereas other locations (like Brevard) could see them each day. For Thursday afternoon, the HRRR shows development along the NC/TN border where the cold pool aloft is the strongest, but development in typical locations along the NC/SC border could also see T-storms this afternoon. A lesser chance for storms exists around Asheville, but they cannot be ruled out nonetheless. Below you can see the most recent run of the HRRR at 1pm.
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As you can see, those pop-up showers indeed develop in isolated locations this afternoon between 1-6pm. Where exactly they will setup is not certain, but the likelihood for storms appears more prevalent on the NC/TN border. Some embedded hail can also not be ruled out with these cells, so please be mindful of that this evening and into the afternoon tomorrow. Please report any severe weather you see to the NWS and to AshevilleWX’s Facebook page. Check back for another update soon and check the WNC Live Cameras to watch weather develop this afternoon around WNC.
