AshevilleWX Initial Projected Snowfall Map February 11-12

AshevilleWX Projected Snowfall Map February 11th-12th

(Discussion Below)

Models Projecting Impactful Snow, Some Higher Than Others

We have had some pretty wild model runs this afternoon with both major global models showing 6”+ of snowfall for the majority of WNC through Sunday evening as an Upper Level Low moves through the area. Below ill show the most recent 18z Euro & 18z GFS snowfall totals.

18z GFS

Courtesy of Pivotalweather.com

18z Euro

Courtesy of Pivotalweather.com

Timing

Nailing the timing of the switchover is difficult to nail down right now, but if I had to guess many will switch to snow around 3-4am. By sunrise some locations could have several inches of accumulation. Dynamic cooling will be the main ingredient for the switchover and as precipitation gets heavier the switchover will occur. Check back tomorrow for another update as we get closer to this event.