Storm development around WNC is very likely this afternoon, and some of these cells could go severe. Below you can see the most recent HRRR Model around 1pm and it shows a very stout storm developing over portions of WNC and then pushing East. These cells will likely affect the majority of WNC, and could put a damper on some initial 4th of July Festivities.
Those whites indicate a cell that has the possibility of producing hail, and that is what I will be watching for this afternoon. Some locations (Canton, NC) saw hail yesterday, and I believe that isolated locations will again see hail this afternoon around WNC. Its difficult to nail down exactly where the hail will actually occur, but please know that the atmosphere is ripe to produce it.
Will Rain Affect Fireworks?
Rain showers look to move up just before fireworks are set to begin in Downtown Asheville, but a lingering isolated shower cannot be ruled out. I expect though that the Downtown Asheville fireworks will go off without a hitch, even if there is a sprinkle in the area. You can watch the Asheville fireworks on the Grimes Teich Anderson LLP Live Downtown Asheville Camera and beat the crowds! Here is the projected 9pm radar from the most recent HRRR Model below.
Weather Beyond Today
The theme for the next several days will be scattered showers and storms. Some locations around town last night received 2” of rainfall! Some isolated flash flooding did occur, and the chance for flash flooding again through the weekend cannot be ruled out. All models indicated that storms last night would dissipate after sunset, but that was not the case. A strong thunderstorm developed right over Asheville and created and intense light show! This will continue to be the theme as we progress through the weekend. Below is last nights precipitation totals from the rainfall.