A less active severe weather day looks to be in store for WNC compared to yesterday, but a few isolated severe cells cannot be ruled out this afternoon. Models suggest that a strong cell will pop-up somewhere over Haywood Co. and then move into Transylvania/Henderson Co. Below you can see a close-up of the projected radar at 4pm this afternoon. As you can see, that cell is rocking portions of Transylvania Co. around 4pm. Isolated hail could also be embedded in this cell, so please be mindful of that if you see these cells developing later.
HRRR Model at 4pm this afternoon
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Not Everyone Will See Rainfall Today
As I stated before, these cells that pop-up will be isolated.. but could pack a strong punch if you happen to be under one. We have seen cells like that pop-up and bring large amounts of hail of locations like Brevard, and I am worried that that could happen again today. Both the Nam 3km and the HRRR show these isolated cells popping around 2-3pm so keep an eye on the radar. For the rest who don’t see rainfall, today will be nice! Sunshine should peek through the clouds and temperatures will top out in the low to mid 80’s.
Looking Ahead
Another front looks to push through the area tomorrow night, and that could bring with it another round of severe weather. Below you can see the most recent Nam 3km depiction, and it suggest that another line of storms, similar to what moved through yesterday could occur tomorrow night. Models do struggle with these events though, so there is a chance that this won’t come to fruition. It is worth nothing though, and mentioning.
Strong wind gusts, and isolated hail cannot be ruled out with the cells that move through tomorrow evening, but a number of factors will determine how strong the cells are able to get. If it remains overcast during the morning hours, and fuel isn’t allowed to build, then storm development will not be as strong. Check back tomorrow for more information regarding how the next line of storms will unfold!
