The sun is out, its beautiful outside.. and I am talking about snow? Yes, unfortunately… Long range models are hinting at a strong upper level low moving through WNC beginning Tuesday morning, and persisting through Wednesday. Friday and Saturday look very nice around WNC with temperatures in the upper 60’s so please get out and enjoy it!
What Do Models Show?
Models show a strong upper level low capturing a surface low and enhancing over the SE of the United States. Then that low pressure bombs out off the coast of NC. With the heavy rate of precipitation and the favorable temperatures for snow aloft, accumulation cannot be ruled out. Below you can see the most recent 12z Euro and the coinciding snowfall map.
12z Euro courtesy of Weather.us
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12z Euro snowfall map courtesy of Weather.us
Here is what the GFS shows at the same time period. As you can see there is a wide variation among models, but a sizable storm does appear to be on the table.
12z GFS Precipitation Depiction Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
12z GFS Snowfall Map Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
Great Uncertainty Remain
This will be an extremely challenging forecast moving ahead, but I will do several live updates to keep you informed. The main takeaway from this article should be that there is one last possibility of winter weather on the horizon, so stay tuned for more information leading up to the storm. Heavy precipitation looks likely, but what form it falls as will remain to be seen. Check back soon for another update!
