Excessive Heat Continues
Historically, around the beginning of October, Asheville will typically see high temps in the low 70’s, and low temps in the mid 50’s. That has not been the case though this year. Persistent onshore flow from the Atlantic has pushed back any frontal passage that would bring those fall like temperatures. Just like what happened last week, the front stalled and dissipated over the top of WNC. Models continue to show this flow from the Atlantic thru the next 10 days.
Near Record High Temps Possible Thursday
Models have been flirting with the idea of temperatures reaching into the mid 80’s on Thursday afternoon. The Asheville Airports all time record high is 86 degrees for October 4th, so it will be interesting to see if we get that hot.
Pop-Up Showers Possible
A shower or two cannot be ruled out each afternoon around WNC due to excessive daytime heating. Friday appears to be the best day for development, with cooler temps moving in aloft.. but a storm will be possible each day.
Tropical Moisture On Its Way
Global models are hinting at an abundance of moisture moving ashore from the Atlantic. This moisture will likely arrive in WNC sometime early next week, and will keep the area from really drying out too much. Some models have suggested that a low pressure could develop off the coast of the Southeast, but that is still too far out to make any determinations. Please note though, that the tropical season is not over.. and extended warm periods like this only prolong it. So, for WNC this weekend look for warm weather with a few pop-up showers.. and check back soon as I follow this tropical moisture.